India IMD's Mohapatra on Monsoon Rains Impact on Economy

The transcript discusses the 2023 monsoon forecast for India, predicting normal rainfall with regional variations. It highlights the impact of climate change on rainfall patterns, noting increased heavy rainfall days and uneven distribution. The Indian Meteorological Department's forecasting methods, including multi-model ensemble systems, are explained. The potential influence of El Niño and the Indian Ocean Dipole on monsoon patterns is also discussed. Additionally, predictions for heat waves in April, particularly in eastern India, are covered.

What is the expected percentage of the long period average rainfall for the monsoon season in 2023?

• 100%

• 96%

• 90%

• 105%

Which regions in India are expected to experience normal to above-normal rainfall during the monsoon season?

• Northwest India

• Southern India

• Western India

• Central India

How has climate change affected the distribution of rainfall in India?

• Increased number of light rainfall days

• Decreased number of heavy rainfall days

• Increased number of heavy rainfall days

• No change in rainfall distribution

What trend is emerging in the rainfall activity in regions like Rajasthan and Saurashtra?

• Fluctuating trend

• Increasing trend

• No change

• Decreasing trend

What forecasting method has the Indian Meteorological Department introduced in the past three years?

• Traditional statistical forecasting

• Satellite-based forecasting

• Multi-model ensemble forecasting

• Single model forecasting

What is the expected impact of El Niño on the Indian monsoon season?

• Adverse impact in the first half

• No impact

• Adverse impact in the second half

• Positive impact

Which part of India is expected to experience heat wave conditions in April?

• Western India

• Northern India

• Eastern India

• Southern India