Frmr Defense Sec Cohen: 'I Don't Think China is Bluffing'

The transcript discusses the potential implications of Speaker Pelosi's trip to Taiwan, highlighting the complexities of US-China relations. It examines the US's longstanding commitments to Taiwan, the potential for increased tensions with China, and the strategic considerations involved. The discussion also touches on China's perspective, including its view of red lines and potential responses to US actions. The conclusion addresses the risks and advisability of Pelosi's trip, considering both domestic and international pressures.

What are the potential consequences of Speaker Pelosi's visit to Taiwan?

• Improved US-China relations

• Military intervention by the US in Taiwan

• High expectations in Taiwan and anxieties in China

• Increased trade between the US and China

What historical act is mentioned in relation to US-Taiwan relations?

• The Formosa Agreement

• The Pacific Defense Act

• The US-China Trade Act

• The Taiwan Relations Act

What has caused confusion among US allies regarding Taiwan?

• The six assurances to Taiwan

• The US withdrawal from Taiwan

• President Biden's statements on defending Taiwan

• The US-China trade agreement

How is Xi Jinping's leadership described in the context of US-China tensions?

• Declining in influence

• Weakened and contested

• Stronger than ever

• Uncertain and unstable

What historical parallel is drawn to explain China's perception of red lines?

• The Korean War

• Russia's stance on Ukraine

• The Cuban Missile Crisis

• The US-Vietnam War

What is a potential outcome of escalating tensions with China?

• Increased military cooperation

• Joint space exploration

• Economic decoupling

• Stronger diplomatic ties

What is one option mentioned regarding Pelosi's visit to Taiwan?

• Canceling the visit permanently

• Inviting Chinese officials to the US

• Holding a virtual meeting instead

• Visiting Taiwan at a later time