Former Ambassador Raby on Australia-China Relations

The transcript discusses the evolving US-China relations and their impact on Australia, highlighting the need for better accommodation between the two powers. It examines the role of foreign policy in Australian election campaigns, emphasizing the importance of strategic ambiguity. The discussion also covers Australia's leverage in trade deals, particularly the CP TPP, and the challenges posed by economic sanctions from China. The potential for improved diplomatic relations and the impact of a change in government in Canberra are also explored, with a focus on the need for a strategic reset.

What is the main concern for Australia regarding the evolving US-China relations?

• Australia might benefit economically.

• Australia will become a mediator.

• Australia will lead the negotiations.

• Australia could be left isolated.

What is the policy of strategic ambiguity meant to achieve?

• Maintain stability across the Taiwan Strait.

• Encourage economic sanctions on China.

• Ensure clear communication between the US and China.

• Increase military presence in Taiwan.

What has been Australia's response to China's interest in joining the CP TPP?

• Full support without conditions.

• Mixed messages and lack of clear support.

• Clear opposition to China's membership.

• Immediate acceptance of China's membership.

What is a significant challenge for China in joining the CP TPP?

• Reducing its military presence in the region.

• Gaining support from the United States.

• Improving its human rights record.

• Meeting the high standards of the TPP 11.

What is the current state of the Australia-China bilateral relationship?

• Non-existent.

• Rapidly improving.

• In the deep freeze.

• Strong and cooperative.

How might a change in government in Canberra affect Australia's foreign policy towards China?

• It may provide an opportunity for a reset.

• It will worsen the relationship.

• It will lead to immediate improvement.

• It will have no impact at all.

What is the potential impact of a diplomatic boycott of the Winter Olympics on China?

• It will lead to economic benefits.

• It will have no impact.

• It will harden attitudes in China.

• It will improve international relations.