CLEAN : Thai capital braces for shutdown by protes

The transcript discusses the potential for political unrest in Thailand, highlighting chaotic demonstrations and legal decisions that may erode government stability. It speculates on the possibility of a judicial coup rather than a military one, as the military may not want to appear as the face of a new government. The discussion also covers the potential for conflict between different political forces and the ongoing efforts for reconciliation. Ultimately, it suggests that a civil war in Thailand is unlikely until after the current monarch's reign ends.

What is expected to gradually erode the locked government?

• Economic sanctions

• Legal decisions

• Military intervention

• Public protests

Why is a military coup considered unlikely?

• The military lacks resources

• The military prefers a judicial approach

• It would appear too illegitimate

• The military supports the current government

What might trigger the military to consider a coup?

• Natural disasters

• Conflict between political factions

• International pressure

• Economic collapse

What is the potential outcome if reconciliation is not achieved?

• Peaceful resolution

• Military dictatorship

• Civil war

• Economic growth

When is a civil war considered unlikely to occur?

• After a successful coup

• With international intervention

• Under the current monarch

• During economic prosperity