The War in Ukraine Isn't Close to Ending: Haass

The transcript discusses Ukraine's recent military successes and their impact on the country's war aims, which now include recovering all territory and seeking reparations. The gap between Ukrainian and Russian demands suggests a prolonged conflict. Diplomatic solutions seem unlikely as both sides face internal challenges in compromising. The discussion also explores the potential for escalation by Russia, including mobilization and the use of chemical or nuclear weapons, as Putin seeks total success. The possibility of a long, low-intensity conflict is considered, with the need for strategic deterrence against extreme measures.

What has Ukraine's recent military success led to in terms of their war aims?

• A desire to negotiate peace

• A willingness to compromise with Russia

• A focus on economic development

• A hardened stance to recover all territory

Why might a diplomatic resolution be challenging for both Ukraine and Russia?

• Both sides are eager to end the conflict quickly

• Compromise could create political problems for both leaders

• Both countries have already agreed on a peace plan

• There is a strong international pressure to continue the war

What might be a reason for the conflict to continue at a lower intensity?

• The winter season makes high-intensity conflict difficult

• International sanctions are forcing a slowdown

• Both leaders prefer a low-level war to avoid signing a compromise

• There is a lack of military resources on both sides

What could potentially trigger Russia to escalate the conflict?

• A successful Ukrainian offensive in Crimea

• A peace treaty signed by Ukraine

• Increased economic sanctions from the West

• A change in leadership in Ukraine

What is a key factor in preventing Russia from escalating to chemical or nuclear options?

• Strong diplomatic ties with NATO

• Internal political stability in Russia

• Credible warnings and preparations from other nations

• A lack of military capability