Eurasia Group's Medeiros Warns of China on the Edge

The transcript discusses the potential risks for China during its leadership transition, particularly under Xi Jinping, and how external actions, such as US-China relations or North Korea, could provoke a strong response. It compares Xi Jinping's leadership to Mao's, highlighting differences in decision-making processes. The discussion also covers potential Chinese reactions to US actions, including trade disputes and maritime conflicts. Lastly, it examines the impact of social media, particularly tweets, on the dynamic between the US and China, emphasizing the potential for increased tension.

What is a key concern for China during the leadership transition in 2016-2017?

• Economic growth

• Overreaction to external actions

• Environmental policies

• Technological advancements

How does Xi Jinping's leadership compare to Mao Zedong's?

• Xi is less influential than Mao

• Xi is not considered a strong leader

• Xi's government is more centralized

• Xi uses populist tactics unlike Mao

What is a characteristic of the current Chinese government compared to Mao's era?

• Fewer actors in policy-making

• More diversified and decentralized

• Less involvement of special interests

• More centralized decision-making

How might China react to aggressive trade actions by the US?

• By reducing tariffs on US goods

• By increasing imports from the US

• By retaliating against American companies

• By strengthening diplomatic ties

What impact do tweets have on US-China relations according to the transcript?

• They increase tension and concern

• They lead to economic sanctions

• They provoke immediate military action

• They are ignored by China