CLEAN : How the polls got it so wrong on Trump

The video discusses the vote share between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, addressing the concept of shy voters and how poll adjustments can lead to different election outcomes. It highlights the impact of rural white voters with less education on Trump's success, noting that they were underrepresented in polls. The video also covers polling standards in the U.S., emphasizing that larger sample sizes do not always equate to more accurate results.

What was the unexpected outcome in the polling data regarding Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton's vote shares?

• Trump consistently led Clinton in the polls.

• Clinton's lead was underestimated.

• Trump caught up with Clinton, contrary to expectations.

• Clinton's position was accurately predicted.

Which demographic group is hypothesized to have been underrepresented in the polls, contributing to the error?

• Young voters in metropolitan areas

• Rural white voters with less than a college education

• Urban voters with college education

• Minority groups in urban settings

What is the standard number of interviews conducted in U.S. polls?

• 1000 interviews

• 500 interviews

• 5000 interviews

• 2000 interviews

How many interviews did Ipsos conduct weekly for some of their pre-election work?

• 5,000 interviews

• 10,000 interviews

• 15,000 interviews

• 20,000 interviews

Does a larger sample size in polling always lead to more accurate results?

• Yes, larger samples are always more accurate.

• Only if the sample is over 50,000.

• No, larger samples do not necessarily mean more accuracy.

• It depends on the demographic being polled.