How Trump’s Policies Will Impact Emerging Markets

The video discusses the impact of global changes and Trump's policies on macroeconomic and political analysis. It highlights the effects of Trump's tweets and policies on countries like Mexico and emerging markets. The discussion includes investor complacency, investment risks in Turkey and Russia, and strategies for currency risk management, with a focus on Serbia.

How has the role of macroeconomic and political analysis changed with the new administration?

• It ignores international influences.

• It has become less relevant.

• It now includes monitoring social media.

• It focuses only on domestic policies.

What are the two opposing strands in Trump's policies affecting emerging markets?

• Inflation and deflation

• Globalization and isolationism

• Reflation and protectionism

• Expansion and contraction

Why is the market considered complacent according to the discussion?

• It is overly focused on protectionism.

• It is not considering European markets.

• It is ignoring Trump's simple rules.

• It is investing too much in Asia.

What is the investment outlook for Turkey according to the analysis?

• It is only suitable for short-term investments.

• It is completely insulated from global policies.

• It has interesting assets despite downgrades.

• It is highly risky with no potential.

Why is Serbia considered a promising investment opportunity?

• It is dependent on oil trade.

• It is largely insulated from major global influences.

• It has a declining economic growth rate.

• It is heavily influenced by US policies.