Goldman Sees 40% Chance of U.S. Hiking Tariffs on China Friday

The transcript discusses the uncertainty surrounding US-China trade negotiations and the potential impact of increased tariffs. It highlights the market's expectations for a deal and the economic risks posed by escalating tariffs. The global economic outlook is analyzed, noting the IMF's downgraded forecast and recent positive growth indicators. The discussion also covers the dynamics of negotiation strategies and the importance of Chinese negotiators attending talks in Washington.

What is the main economic impact of the uncertainty surrounding the US-China trade deal?

• Improved market stability

• Escalation in tariffs

• Higher employment rates

• Increased consumer spending

How has the global economic outlook been affected by recent trade tensions?

• The IMF has upgraded its forecast

• The global economy is at its strongest since the financial crisis

• Trade tensions have no impact on the global economy

• The IMF has downgraded its forecast

What recent economic performance trends were observed in China and the US?

• Both countries experienced a decline in growth

• China showed better growth, while the US struggled

• Both countries showed signs of economic improvement

• The US economy weakened, while China remained stable

What is a key factor in determining the likelihood of increased tariffs?

• The level of consumer confidence in China

• The US stock market performance

• The outcome of Chinese negotiators' visit to Washington DC

• The number of new trade agreements signed by the US

What strategic approach has China taken in response to US trade demands?

• Engaging in competitive devaluation

• Maintaining a stable currency and addressing intellectual property issues

• Reducing exports to the US

• Increasing tariffs on US imports