The Ukraine Cease-Fire Is Beginning to Unravel: Pomeranz

The transcript discusses the fragile ceasefire in Ukraine and the increased Russian military presence in the region. It questions the credibility of President Putin's statements denying Russian involvement, citing past denials that were later contradicted. The discussion explores Russia's intentions in Eastern Ukraine, suggesting a desire to create a frozen conflict. Concerns about energy supply in Europe, especially as winter approaches, are highlighted, with a recent gas agreement providing some reassurance. The potential for conflict escalation and its impact on European energy security are key themes.

What is the main concern regarding the increased Russian military activity in Eastern Ukraine?

• Russia might withdraw its forces.

• The local government might gain more control.

• The ceasefire might become permanent.

• Russia might consolidate or expand its position.

Why is there skepticism about President Putin's statements on Russian involvement in Ukraine?

• He has always been truthful about military actions.

• He previously denied troop presence in Crimea and later admitted it.

• He has always supported Ukraine's sovereignty.

• He has never commented on military actions.

What is a significant issue faced by the government installed in Eastern Ukraine?

• It can easily manage local demands.

• It has full control over electricity supply.

• It struggles to provide basic services like salaries and electricity.

• It has strong international support.

What might the separatists need to do to provide basic services in Eastern Ukraine?

• Move further into Ukraine to gain control of resources.

• Withdraw from the region.

• Seek international aid.

• Negotiate with the local government.

What agreement was reached to ensure Ukraine's energy supply during winter?

• Europeans guaranteed Ukraine's gas supply until March.

• Russia will provide free gas to Ukraine.

• Ukraine will rely solely on its resources.

• Ukraine will cut off energy to neighboring countries.