Morgan Stanley’s Sheets Is Pessimistic on Trade Outlook

Morgan Stanley’s Sheets Is Pessimistic on Trade Outlook

Assessment

Interactive Video

Business, Social Studies

University

Hard

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The video discusses the likelihood of a US recession, with Morgan Stanley's cautious outlook and a 20% probability of recession in the next 12 months. It also covers the potential for an earnings recession, noting negative growth in S&P 500 earnings and the possibility of further declines. The impact of dollar strength is examined, highlighting trade uncertainty and over-stimulus as key factors affecting economic weakness, rather than the dollar itself.

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5 questions

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1.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is the probability of a US recession in the next 12 months according to Morgan Stanley?

40%

10%

20%

30%

2.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

Which type of recession is considered more likely according to the discussion?

Economic recession

Earnings recession

Global recession

Trade recession

3.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What was the year-over-year growth for S&P earnings in the first quarter?

Positive

Negative

Unchanged

Zero

4.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is one of the main reasons cited for economic weakness, aside from the dollar?

High inflation

Decreasing consumer spending

Trade uncertainty

Rising interest rates

5.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is the perceived impact of a strong dollar on the global economy?

It strengthens global currencies

It boosts global trade

It has no impact

It causes a global recession