This Professor Has Correctly Predicted Every Election Since 1984: His Model & Result - TLDR News

The video discusses the impact of Kamala Harris as Joe Biden's VP choice, analyzing her influence on the campaign and fundraising. It reviews two election prediction models: Lichtman's 13 keys, which favor Biden, and Norpoth's primary model, which favors Trump. The video also examines the potential impact of a second COVID-19 spike on the election, particularly in the context of school reopenings.

What significant milestone does Kamala Harris achieve by being selected as Joe Biden's running mate?

• First African American woman on a major party ticket

• First senator from California to run for vice president

• First woman to run for president

• First woman to be elected as vice president

According to Professor Lichtman's model, how many keys must go against the incumbent party for them to lose the White House?

• Seven

• Five

• Eight

• Six

Which key in Lichtman's model is affected by Trump's handling of the coronavirus pandemic?

• Social unrest

• Incumbent charisma

• Short-term economy

• Foreign policy success

What is the predicted outcome of the 2020 election according to Professor Lichtman's model?

• The election will be too close to call

• Joe Biden will win

• A third-party candidate will win

• Donald Trump will win

What does Helmut Norpoth's primary model predict for the 2020 election?

• An unprecedented tie in the election

• A 91% chance of reelection for Donald Trump

• A narrow win for a third-party candidate

• A landslide victory for Joe Biden

What factor does Norpoth's model consider that might favor the incumbent party?

• The number of debates held

• The performance in the primaries

• The number of campaign rallies

• The amount of campaign funding

What challenge does the primary model face in predicting the general election outcome?

• It ignores the impact of international events

• It does not account for independent voters

• It relies too heavily on social media trends

• It only considers the number of campaign ads