How Does a Presidential Election Impact M&A?

The video discusses historical election trends, highlighting how market activities slow down during election years, especially when there's no incumbent. It examines the impact of political uncertainty on M&A sentiment, particularly under a Trump presidency, which is perceived as increasing market uncertainty. The discussion also covers the reliability of polls, referencing Brexit as an example of unexpected outcomes, and how this affects confidence in predicting election results.

What are the implications of the polls and betting markets on political risk as discussed in the text?

How do professionals in the M&A business perceive the upcoming election season?