TED: A prediction for the future of Iran | Bruce Bueno de Mesquita

The video discusses the use of science, particularly game theory, to predict complex negotiations and political scenarios, focusing on Iran's nuclear program. It highlights the importance of understanding influence and decision-making dynamics, and the role of computers in processing complex information. The speaker validates the predictive model with CIA data, emphasizing that while not everything is predictable, many complex issues can be foreseen and engineered for better outcomes.

What is the importance of understanding what decision-makers say they want?

What predictions were made regarding Iran's nuclear weapons program?

What role do external influences play in shaping Iran's nuclear policy?

How can predictions about political behavior be used to engineer outcomes?