Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon giving daily coronavirus press briefing

The transcript discusses the assessment of lockdown restrictions in the UK, with a focus on Scotland. It highlights the importance of evidence-based decisions and the current data supporting these decisions. The Scottish Government is unlikely to make significant changes to restrictions soon due to fragile progress in reducing COVID-19 cases. The transcript also covers estimates of COVID-19 cases and the importance of keeping the R number below 1, noting that the R number might be slightly higher in Scotland compared to the rest of the UK.

Why is it important to keep the reproduction number below 1?

What uncertainty is mentioned regarding the modeling of COVID-19 numbers in Scotland?