What's the Big Idea? The 'Volfefe' Index for Trump Tweets

The video discusses JP Morgan's analysis of the impact of Trump's tweets on market volatility, particularly in the US interest rate market. The Volf FA index, inspired by Trump's 'covfefe' tweet, measures this impact. Findings show an increase in market-moving tweets, affecting US Treasury yields and interest rate derivatives like swaptions. Certain words in Trump's tweets, such as 'China' and 'Democrats', are more likely to influence the market. Bank of America's research supports these findings, noting negative market returns on days with frequent Trump tweets. The video explores the causal relationship between Trump's tweets and market volatility.

What types of words in Trump's tweets are more likely to influence market movements?

Discuss the causal relationship between Trump's tweeting and market volatility as mentioned in the text.