Aberdeen Watching for 'Reflexive' U.S. Recession Driven by Markets

The video discusses the potential for a recession in the US, focusing on the concept of a reflexive recession where market actions influence economic outcomes. It highlights the role of global economic slowdown and market indicators as predictors of economic trends. The discussion also covers the Federal Reserve's influence on market signals and the circular nature of using these signals for policy decisions.

Explain the concept of a 'negative confidence spiral' as discussed in the text.

What is the speaker's view on the Federal Reserve's influence on bond prices?