Can We Trust Midterm Polling Data?

The video discusses the challenges and reliability of polling, highlighting past errors in predicting election outcomes, such as underestimating Trump's support. It explains the components of reliable polls, the impact of non-response bias, and the variability in polling results. The current political landscape, including events like Roe v Wade's overturning and Trump's FBI raid, adds complexity to polling accuracy. Despite these challenges, polling remains a valuable tool for gauging public sentiment, though its precision is affected by recent events.

What were the main reasons for the underestimation of Donald Trump's support in the 2016 and 2020 elections?

What factors contributed to the variation in polling results among different pollsters?

How did non-response bias affect polling accuracy in recent elections?

In what ways did the political landscape change leading up to the midterms?

What impact did the overturning of Roe v. Wade have on voter motivation?

How did the economic situation influence the political dynamics before the midterms?

What challenges do pollsters face in accurately predicting voter behavior?