This Index May Predict Outcome of 2016 Elections

The video discusses the Misery Index, an informal indicator combining unemployment and inflation rates, which has historically predicted U.S. presidential election outcomes since 1964, with exceptions like Carter and Clinton. The index suggests that rising misery leads to voting out incumbents, while decreasing misery favors them. Current trends show reduced misery, which is beneficial for incumbents. Additional resources are provided for further exploration.

How has the Misery Index historically influenced presidential elections since 1964?

What is the Misery Index and how is it calculated?

What exceptions to the Misery Index predictions were mentioned in the text?

Discuss the significance of consumer sentiment and confidence in relation to the Misery Index.

What current trends in unemployment and inflation were noted, and how might they affect the incumbent party?