Could Scientists Predict the Next Political Crisis?

The video explores the art and science of prediction, highlighting successes in weather forecasting and challenges in predicting earthquakes and human behavior. It discusses the limitations of expert predictions and introduces the Good Judgment Project, which identifies traits of successful forecasters. The video emphasizes the importance of data and the potential of combining human intuition with machine learning to improve predictions.

What advancements have scientists made in predicting the future?

How has weather forecasting improved over the years?

What are the limitations of weather predictions beyond a week?

What is the significance of the 'butterfly effect' in predictions?

Why is predicting earthquakes more challenging than predicting weather?

What role do experts play in making predictions about political and economic outcomes?

In what ways can machine learning contribute to forecasting?

What findings did the Good Judgment Project reveal about forecasting?

How can cognitive biases affect our ability to make accurate predictions?

What are 'Black Swans' in the context of predictions?