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Inference

Total questions: 20

Worksheet time: 40mins

Name
Class
Date
1.

A researcher is conducting a study of charitable donations by surveying a simple random sample of households in a certain city. The researcher wants to determine whether there is convincing statistical evidence that more than 50 percent of households in the city gave a charitable donation in the past year. Let p represent the proportion of all households in the city that gave a charitable donation in the past year. Which of the following are appropriate hypotheses for the researcher?

a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
2.

A statistician proposed a new method for constructing a 90 percent confidence interval to estimate the median of assessed home values for homes in a large community. To test the method, the statistician will conduct a simulation by selecting 10,000 random samples of the same size from the population. For each sample, a confidence interval will be constructed using the new method. If the confidence level associated with the new method is actually 90 percent, which of the following will be captured by approximately 9,000 of the confidence intervals constructed from the simulation?

a)

The sample mean

b)

The sample median

c)

The sample standard deviation

d)

The population mean

e)

The population median

3.

A team of psychologists studied the effect of multitasking on the completion of cognitive tasks. A group of 40 women participated in the study. Each woman owned a smartphone equipped with the same type of keyboard. The women typed a text passage on the phone twice, one time while sitting in a quiet room (a single task) and the other time while walking (a multitask). The order of the single task and the multitask was randomly determined for each woman. The psychologists recorded the time it took each woman to type the text for both tasks. If the conditions of inference are met, which of the following tests is most appropriate to analyze the data?

a)

A two-sample t-test for a difference between means

b)

A matched-pairs t-test for a mean difference

c)

A one-sample z-test for a proportion

d)

A two-sample z-test for a difference between proportions

e)

A chi-square test of independence

4.

A polling agency conducted a survey by selecting 100 random samples, each consisting of 1,200 United States citizens. The citizens in each sample were asked whether they were optimistic about the economy. For each sample, the polling agency created a 95 percent confidence interval for the proportion of all United States citizens who were optimistic about the economy. Which of the following statements is the best interpretation of the 95 percent confidence level?

a)

With 100 confidence intervals, we can be 95% confident that the sample proportion of citizens of the United States who are optimistic about the economy is correct.

b)

We would expect about 95 of the 100 confidence intervals to contain the proportion of all citizens of the United States who are optimistic about the economy.

c)

We would expect about 5 of the 100 confidence intervals to not contain the sample proportion of citizens of the United States who are optimistic about the economy.

d)

Of the 100 confidence intervals, 95 of the intervals will be identical because they were constructed from samples of the same size of 1,200.

e)

The probability is 0.95 that 100 confidence intervals will yield the same information about the sample proportion of citizens of the United States who are optimistic about the economy

5.

As part of a national sleep study, a random sample of adults was selected and surveyed about their physical activity and the number of hours they sleep each night. Of the 183 adults who exercised regularly (exercisers), 59 percent reported sleeping at least seven hours at night. Of the 88 adults who did not exercise regularly (nonexercisers), 52 percent reported sleeping at least seven hours at night. Which of the following is the most appropriate standard error for a confidence interval for the difference in proportions of adults who sleep at least seven hours at night among exercisers and nonexercisers?

a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
6.

A representative of a car manufacturer in the United States made the following claim in a news report. "Ten years ago, only 53 percent of Americans owned American-made cars, but that figure is significantly higher today." A research group conducted a study to investigate whether the claim was true. The group found that 56 percent of a randomly selected sample of car owners in the United States owned American-made cars. A test of the appropriate hypotheses resulted in a p-value of 0.283. Assuming the conditions for inference were met, is there sufficient evidence to conclude, at the significance level of a = 0.05, that the proportion of all car owners in the United States who own American-made cars has increased from what it was ten years ago?

a)

Yes, because 0.56 > 0.53.

b)

Yes, because a reasonable interval for the proportion is 0.56 ± 0.283.

c)

Yes, because 0.56 - 0.53 = 0.03 and 0.03 < 0.05.

d)

No, because 0.283 < 0.53.

e)

No, because 0.283 > 0.05.

7.

A botanist collected one leaf at random from each of 10 randomly selected mature maple trees of the same species. The mean and the standard deviation of the surface areas for the 10 leaves in the sample were computed.Assume the distribution of surface areas of maple leaves is normal. What is the appropriate method for constructing a one-sample confidence interval to estimate the population mean surface area of the species of maple leaves, and why is the method appropriate?

a)

The t-interval is appropriate, because the population standard deviation is not known.

b)

The t-interval is appropriate, because the t-interval is narrower than the z-interval.

c)

The z-interval is appropriate, because the z-interval is narrower than the t-interval.

d)

The z-interval is appropriate, because the central limit theorem applies.

e)

The z-interval is appropriate, because the sample standard deviation is known.

8.

A state educational agency was concerned that the salaries of public school teachers in one region of the state,region A, were higher than the salaries in another region of the state, region B. The agency took two independent random samples of salaries of public school teachers, one from region A and one from region B. The data are summarized in the table below. Assuming all conditions for inference are met, do the data provide convincing statistical evidence that the salaries of public school teachers in region A are, on average, greater than the salaries of public school teachers in region B?

a)

Yes, there is evidence at the significance level of a = 0.001.

b)

Yes, there is evidence at the significance level of a = 0.01 but not at a = 0.001.

c)

Yes, there is evidence at the significance level of a = 0.05 but not at a = 0.01.

d)

Yes, there is evidence at the significance level of a = 0.10 but not at a = 0.05.

e)

No, there is no evidence at the significance level of a = .10.

9.

A commercial for a breakfast cereal is shown during a certain television program. The manufacturer of the cereal wants to estimate the percent of television viewers who watch the program. The manufacturer wants the estimate to have a margin of error of at most 0.02 at a level of 95 percent confidence. Of the following, which is the smallest sample size that will satisfy the manufacturer’s requirements?

a)

40

b)

50

c)

100

d)

1700

e)

2500

10.

Meteorologists are interested in the relationship between minimum pressure and maximum wind speed of hurricanes. The minimum pressure, in millibars, and maximum wind speed, in knots, were collected for a random sample of 100 hurricanes from the year 1995 to the year 2012. A regression analysis of maximum wind speed on minimum wind pressure produced a 95 percent confidence interval of (-1.42, -1.20) for the slope of the least-squares regression line. Which statement is a correct interpretation of the interval?

a)

The probability is 0.95 that wind speed will decrease, on average, between 1.20 knots and 1.42 knots for each millibar increase in minimum pressure.

b)

The probability is 0.95 that a different sample of 100 hurricanes will result in an increase, on average, of wind speed between 1.20 knots and 1.42 knots for each millibar increase in minimum pressure.

c)

We can be 95% confident that wind speed decreases, on average, between 1.20 knots and 1.42 knots for each millibar increase in minimum pressure.

d)

We can be 95% confident that wind speed increases, on average, between 1.20 knots and 1.42 knots for each millibar increase in minimum pressure.

e)

We can be 95% confident that, for any sample of hurricanes, the wind speed will decrease, on average, between 1.20 knots and 1.42 knots for each millibar increase in minimum pressure.

11.

The management team of a company with 10,000 employees is considering installing charging stations for electric cars in the company parking lots. In a random sample of 500 employees, 15 reported owning an electric car. Which of the following is a 99 percent confidence interval for the proportion of all employees at the company who own an electric car?

a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
12.

A group of men and women were surveyed to investigate the association between gender and the number of friends the person has on a social media Web site. Results are shown in the table below. Which of the following procedures is the most appropriate for investigating whether an association exists between gender and the number of friends a person has on a social media Web site?

a)

A matched-pairs t-test for a mean difference

b)

A two-sample t-test for the difference between means

c)

A t-test for the slope of the regression line

d)

A chi-square goodness-of-fit test

e)

A chi-square test of independence

13.

On the day before an election in a large city, each person in a random sample of 1,000 likely voters is asked which candidate he or she plans to vote for. Of the people in the sample, 55 percent say they will vote for candidate Taylor. A margin of error of 3 percentage points is calculated. Which of the following statements is appropriate?

a)

The proportion of all likely voters who plan to vote for candidate Taylor must be the same as the proportion of voters in the sample who plan to vote for candidate Taylor (55 percent), because the data were collected from a random sample.

b)

The sample proportion minus the margin of error is greater than 0.50, which provides evidence that more than half of all likely voters plan to vote for candidate Taylor.

c)

It is not possible to draw any conclusion about the proportion of all likely voters who plan to vote for candidate Taylor because the 1,000 likely voters in the sample represent only a small fraction of all likely voters in a large city.

d)

It is not possible to draw any conclusion about the proportion of all likely voters who plan to vote for candidate Taylor because this is not an experiment.

e)

It is not possible to draw any conclusion about the proportion of all likely voters who plan to vote for candidate Taylor because this is a random sample and not a census.

14.

A 90 percent confidence interval for the slope of a regression line is determined to be (-0.181, 1.529). Which of the following statements must be true?

a)

The correlation coefficient of the data is positive.

b)

The sum of the residuals for the data based on the regression line is positive.

c)

A scatterplot of the data would show a linear pattern.

d)

The slope of the sample regression line is 1.348.

e)

The slope of the sample regression line is 0.

15.

A matched-pairs t-test is NOT an appropriate way to analyze data consisting of which of the following?

a)

Measurements of annual income taken both before and after a two-year training course for a random sample of 100 people who took the course

b)

Measurements of annual income for each twin for 100 randomly selected pairs of twins

c)

Measurements of annual income for both individuals in pairs formed by matching 100 people from State A and 100 people from State B based on level of education

d)

Measurements of annual income for both individuals in pairs formed by assigning 100 people to pairs at random

e)

Measurements of annual income recorded for both spouses of 100 randomly selected married couples

16.

An airline claims that the mean flight time between City X and City Y is 38 minutes. After taking many flights, a local business group believes that the claim is unrealistic and that the actual mean flight time is greater than 38 minutes. If the group conducts a study to investigate its belief, which of the following hypotheses should be tested?

a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
17.

A national health study reported that the proportion of students with elevated blood pressure is 0.15. The principal of a local high school believes that the proportion of students in the school with elevated blood pressure is greater than 0.15. If a large random sample is used, which of the following is the most appropriate test to investigate the principal’s belief?

a)

A z-test for a proportion

b)

A z-test for a difference between two proportions

c)

A chi-square test for homogeneity of proportions

d)

A t-test for a mean

e)

A matched-pairs t-test

18.

A medical doctor uses a diagnostic test to determine whether a patient has arthritis. A treatment will be prescribed only if the doctor thinks the patient has arthritis. The situation is similar to using a null and an alternative hypothesis to decide whether to prescribe the treatment. The hypotheses might be stated as follows.


H_o : The patient does not have arthritis


H_a : The patient has arthritis


Which of the following represents a Type II error for the hypotheses?

a)

Diagnosing arthritis in a patient who has arthritis

b)

Failing to diagnose arthritis in a patient who has arthritis

c)

Diagnosing arthritis in a patient who does not have arthritis

d)

Failing to diagnose arthritis in a patient who does not have arthritis

e)

Prescribing treatment to a patient regardless of the diagnosis

19.

A school administrator is interested in estimating the proportion of students in the district who participate in community service activities. From a random sample of 100 students in the district, the administrator will construct a 99 percent confidence interval for the proportion of all district students who participate in community service activities. Which of the following statements must be true?

a)

The population proportion will be in the confidence interval.

b)

The probability that the confidence interval will include the population proportion is 0.99.

c)

The probability that the confidence interval will include the sample proportion is 0.99.

d)

The population proportion and the sample proportion will be equal

e)

The probability that the population proportion and the sample proportion will be equal is 0.99.

20.

A large city newspaper periodically reports the mean cost of dinner for two people at restaurants in the city. The newspaper staff will collect data from a random sample of restaurants in the city and estimate the mean price using a 90 percent confidence interval. In past years, the standard deviation has always been very close to $35. Assuming that the population standard deviation is $35, which of the following is the minimum sample size needed to obtain a margin of error of no more than $5 ?

a)

90

b)

112

c)

133

d)

147

e)

195