
Estimation: estimating base rates & calibration
Authored by Karsten Miermans
Other
6th Grade - University
Used 5+ times

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16 questions
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1.
OPEN ENDED QUESTION
5 mins • Ungraded
Define the concept of the base rate.
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2.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
We'll now do some base rate estimation tasks, to train you to estimate numbers. We'll use that also when practicing Fermi estimates! :) Ok?
if I must...
bring it on!
3.
FILL IN THE BLANKS QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
The number of gum-balls in the jar is ... (round to nearest power of 10, i.e. 10, 100, 1000, 10000, etc.)
(a)
4.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
The number of long-distance trains (ICE, BOB, etc.) that are waiting at the platforms is typically (@ Munich Hbf)
less than 5
between 5 and 50
between 50 and 300
more than 300
5.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
The number of people that buy a coffee (during non-corona times) on a typical day at a small neighborhood cafe is
less than 10
between 10 and 500
more than 500
6.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
The number of people that buy a coffee (during non-corona times) on a typical day at the Backwerk in Hauptbahnhof
less than 10
between 10 and 500
between 500 and 10.000
more than 10.000
7.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
On a yearly basis, the base rate of flu (Grippe) infections in Germany is:
more than 500.000
between 500.000 and 5.000
fewer than 5.000
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