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Estimation: estimating base rates & calibration

Authored by Karsten Miermans

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6th Grade - University

Used 5+ times

Estimation: estimating base rates & calibration
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16 questions

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1.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

5 mins • Ungraded

Define the concept of the base rate.

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OFF

2.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

5 mins • 1 pt

We'll now do some base rate estimation tasks, to train you to estimate numbers. We'll use that also when practicing Fermi estimates! :) Ok?

if I must...

bring it on!

3.

FILL IN THE BLANK QUESTION

5 mins • 1 pt

Media Image

The number of gum-balls in the jar is ... (round to nearest power of 10, i.e. 10, 100, 1000, 10000, etc.)

4.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

5 mins • 1 pt

The number of long-distance trains (ICE, BOB, etc.) that are waiting at the platforms is typically (@ Munich Hbf)

less than 5

between 5 and 50

between 50 and 300

more than 300

5.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

5 mins • 1 pt

The number of people that buy a coffee (during non-corona times) on a typical day at a small neighborhood cafe is

less than 10

between 10 and 500

more than 500

6.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

5 mins • 1 pt

The number of people that buy a coffee (during non-corona times) on a typical day at the Backwerk in Hauptbahnhof

less than 10

between 10 and 500

between 500 and 10.000

more than 10.000

7.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

5 mins • 1 pt

On a yearly basis, the base rate of flu (Grippe) infections in Germany is:

more than 500.000

between 500.000 and 5.000

fewer than 5.000

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