PIA 4

______, or choosing the first hypothesis that appears good enough, is too often used by intelligence analysts.

• Satisficing

• Incrementalism

• Consensus

• Reasoning by analogy

______, or choosing the first hypothesis that appears good enough, is too often used by intelligence analysts.

• Satisficing

• Incrementalism

• Consensus

• Reasoning by analogy

Analysts often work with ______ data

• All of these

• Ambiguous

• Contradictory

• Incomplete

Analysts often work with ______ data

• All of these

• Ambiguous

• Contradictory

• Incomplete

Analysts often work with ______ data

• All of these

• Ambiguous

• Contradictory

• Incomplete

What is one advantage of applying theory?

• It allows analysts to transcend the limits of available data

• It is the most reliable strategy for generating and evaluating hypotheses

• It can specify the time frame within which developments might be anticipated to occur

• It does not allow the analyst to ignoring evidence that is truly indicative of future events

What is one advantage of applying theory?

• It allows analysts to transcend the limits of available data

• It is the most reliable strategy for generating and evaluating hypotheses

• It can specify the time frame within which developments might be anticipated to occur

• It does not allow the analyst to ignoring evidence that is truly indicative of future events

What is one advantage of applying theory?

• It allows analysts to transcend the limits of available data

• It is the most reliable strategy for generating and evaluating hypotheses

• It can specify the time frame within which developments might be anticipated to occur

• It does not allow the analyst to ignoring evidence that is truly indicative of future events

Physicians who stressed thorough data collection as their principle analytical method were significantly _____ accurate in their diagnoses than those who followed other analytical strategies such as _____

• Less, identifying and testing hypotheses

• Less, reviewing similar cases

• More, identifying and testing hypotheses

• More, reviewing similar cases

Physicians who stressed thorough data collection as their principle analytical method were significantly _____ accurate in their diagnoses than those who followed other analytical strategies such as _____

• Less, identifying and testing hypotheses

• Less, reviewing similar cases

• More, identifying and testing hypotheses

• More, reviewing similar cases