The Absurd Odds of a Perfect Bracket

What are the odds of picking a perfect NCAA bracket by just guessing or flipping a coin?

• 1 in 40 billion

• 1 in 9.2 quintillion

• 1 in 120.2 billion

• 1 in 2 billion

What are the improved odds of picking a perfect NCAA bracket if you have some knowledge about basketball?

• 1 in 10 billion

• 1 in 120.2 billion

• 1 in 9.2 quintillion

• 1 in 40 billion

How many games are there in a normal NCAA tournament bracket?

• 63 games

• 68 games

• 64 games

• 128 games

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What historic event made it no longer a guarantee that all four 1 seeds would win their matchups?

• UMBC's upset of Virginia in 2018

• The introduction of the 3-point line

• The first televised NCAA tournament

• The expansion to 68 teams

What is the number of possible outcomes for a bracket in the modern NCAA tournament?

• 2^68

• 2^64

• 2^63

• 2^128

According to Georgia Tech professor Joel Sokol, what is the accuracy rate of the best statistical models for predicting college basketball games?

• 75%

• 95%

• 50%

• 85%

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What are the odds of getting a perfect bracket using a model that predicts games correctly 75% of the time?

• Between 1 in 10 billion and 1 in 40 billion

• 1 in 120.2 billion

• 1 in 2 billion

• 1 in 9.2 quintillion

According to the article, how many unique brackets were there among millions entered into the Bracket Challenge Game last year?

• 94.4%

• 85.7%

• 76.3%

• 99.9%

How often would we expect to see a perfect bracket if every person in the United States filled out a completely unique bracket that was 66.7 percent accurate?

• Every year

• Every 500 years

• Every 366 years

• Every 100 years

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Did you fill out a bracket this year?

• yes

• no