Control Risks' Gilholm on Geopolitical Risks

The video discusses the geopolitical dynamics in Asia concerning the Ukraine conflict. It highlights Japan and South Korea's increasing alignment with the US, while China and India maintain their positions. The potential impact of sanctions on China and the broader Asian region is examined, along with the implications for US-China relations. The video also explores whether the Ukraine situation might influence China's actions towards Taiwan, concluding that significant changes are unlikely in the short term.

What recent policy change has Japan made in relation to coal imports?

• Increased coal exports to China

• Stopped coal imports from the US

• Joined the EU in curbing coal imports

• Increased coal imports from Russia

What is the likelihood of China and India changing their stance on the Ukraine conflict?

• Very likely

• Somewhat likely

• Unlikely

• Already changed

What might trigger a shift in US-China relations according to the discussion?

• China's systematic breach of sanctions

• China's military action in Taiwan

• Increased trade with Russia

• A change in the US government

How has the response to Russia's actions been described?

• Swift and unprecedented

• Slow and ineffective

• Moderate and expected

• Delayed and minimal

What is a major reason China is deterred from taking action on Taiwan?

• Economic sanctions from the EU

• International support for Taiwan

• Risk of major conflict damaging China's interests

• Lack of military capability

What event is speculated to potentially influence Taiwan's future?

• A change in the US government

• Increased trade with Russia

• China's economic growth

• Japan's military expansion

What recent visit to Taipei is mentioned as speculative in terms of Taiwan's diplomatic status?

• Visit by the Russian Foreign Minister

• Visit by the EU Commissioner

• Visit by former US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo

• Visit by the US President