Forecasting the Pound

The transcript discusses various analysts' forecasts on the impact of Brexit on the British pound. Hans Redeker suggests a Canada-style deal could initially lower the pound before it rises, while Valentin Marinov believes a deal could boost the pound, but an Article 50 extension would maintain current levels. The Bank of England's worst-case scenario warns of the pound dropping below parity with the dollar in a disorderly Brexit.

What does Hans Redeker of Morgan Stanley predict about the pound in the event of a Canada-style deal?

• The pound will rise to 1.50

• The pound will drop to 1.25 before stabilizing

• The pound will remain unchanged

• The pound will fall below parity with the dollar

According to Valentin Marinov, what could happen to the pound if Article 50 is extended?

• The pound might remain around the current level

• The pound could fall to 1.10

• The pound could drop below parity with the dollar

• The pound could rise to 1.50

What is the potential impact on the pound if there is a no-deal Brexit, according to Valentin Marinov?

• The pound could fall to 1.20

• The pound could rise to 1.40

• The pound could rise to 1.30

• The pound could remain stable

What is the Bank of England's worst-case scenario for the pound in the event of a disorderly Brexit?

• The pound could stabilize at 1.25

• The pound could drop below parity with the dollar

• The pound could fall to 1.20

• The pound could rise to 1.50

What is the general sentiment about the predictability of Brexit's impact on the pound?

• It is believed to strengthen the pound significantly

• It is considered highly predictable

• It is seen as untradeable by many analysts

• It is expected to have no impact