What are the percentage chances of a global recession mentioned in the text?
Expect the U.S. Economy to Bottom Out in 1Q of 2020, Says Allianz’s Subran

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2.
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What factors are contributing to the expectation of a recession in the US economy?
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How did central bank actions influence the potential recession in early 2020?
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What does the term 'flatlining' refer to in the context of the US economy?
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What political risks are mentioned that could affect the US economy?
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