Trump, Recession, Divergence: What’s Next for U.S.?

The video discusses the trends in fund flows, highlighting a shift from equity to bond funds, and the impact of Trump's victory on these trends. It analyzes sector performances, particularly bond proxies like utilities, and the potential for underperformance as bond yields rise. The discussion also covers the risks of a recession as a trigger for ending bull markets, with a focus on unemployment rates and economic growth. Finally, it examines how rising bond yields could tighten monetary policy, potentially leading to a recession by affecting investment and consumer spending.

What factors have contributed to the recent fund flow reversal from equity funds to bond funds?

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How do bond proxies like real estate and utilities relate to bond yields?

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What are the potential triggers for the end of a bull market according to the discussion?

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What is the significance of the unemployment rate in predicting an upcoming recession?

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In what ways could President Trump's policies impact the US economy and potentially lead to a recession?

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