Predictions: What Went Wrong?

The video discusses the challenges of making accurate predictions in politics and economics, highlighting Philip Tetlock's research on expert forecasting. It contrasts 'hedgehogs' who make bold predictions with 'foxes' who consider multiple data points. The video also explores the complexities of COVID-19 and weather modeling, emphasizing the importance of assumptions and the iterative process of refining predictions. It critiques media portrayal of predictions and suggests skepticism towards bold, unaccountable forecasts.

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