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Decision Analysis

Total questions: 21

Worksheet time: 28mins

Name
Class
Date
1.

is an actual event that may occur in the future.

a)

state of nature

b)

payoff

c)

variable

2.

Using a​ (a)   is a means of organizing a decision situation, including the payoffs from different decisions, given the various (b)   .​

Choose from the below words
payoff table
states of nature
decision table
decisions
decision tree
data
3.

The ​ (a)   results in the maximum of the maximum payoffs.

Choose from the below words
maximax criterion
maximin criterion
minimax regret
Hurwicz
equal likelihood
4.

The ​ (a)   results in the maximum of the minimum payoff.

Choose from the below words
maximin criterion
minimax regret
Hurwicz
equal likelihood
maximax criterion
5.

(a)   is the difference between the payoff from the best decision and all other decision payoffs.

6.

The ​ (a)   criterion minimizes the maximum regret.

Choose from the below words
minimax regret
Hurwicz
equal likelihood
maximax criterion
maximax regret
maximin regret
7.

The ​ (a)   is a compromise between the maximax and maximin criteria.

Choose from the below words
Hurwicz criterion
equal likelihood
maximax criterion
maximax regret
maximin regret
8.

The ​ (a)   , is a measure of the decision maker’s optimism.

Choose from the below words
coefficient of optimism
coefficient of optimistic
coefficient of positivity
9.

The ​ (a)   , or ​ (b)   , criterion multiplies the decision payoff for each state of nature by an equal weight.

Choose from the below words
equal likelihood
LaPlace
Hurwicz
maximax
maximin
10.

Expected value is computed by ​ (a)   each decision outcome under each ​ (b)   by the probability of its occurrence.

Choose from the below words
multiplying
state of nature
dividing
adding
outcome
decision
11.

__________ is the expected value of the regret for each decision.

a)

EOL

b)

EVPI

c)

EOVI

d)

ELO

12.

The expected value and expected opportunity loss criteria result in the same decision.

a)

True

b)

False

13.

The _______ is the maximum amount a decision maker would pay for additional information.

a)

EOL

b)

EVPI

c)

EOVI

d)

ELO

14.

EVPI equals the expected value, given perfect information, minus the expected value without perfect information.

a)

True

b)

False

15.

The expected value of perfect information equals the expected opportunity loss for the best decision.

a)

True

b)

False

16.

Determine the parts of the payoff table

17.

Determine the best decision by using the following decision criteria:

Maximax ​ (a)  

Choose from the below words
Status quo
Expand
Sell
18.

Determine the best decision by using the following decision criteria:

Maximin ​ (a)  

Choose from the below words
Expand
Sell
Status quo
19.

Determine the best decision by using the following decision criteria:

Minimax regret ​ (a)  

Choose from the below words
Expand
Sell
Status quo
20.

Determine the best decision by using the following decision criteria:

Hurwicz ( α = .3) ​ (a)  

Choose from the below words
Expand
Sell
Status quo
21.

Determine the best decision by using the following decision criteria:

Equal likelihood ​ (a)  

Choose from the below words
Expand
Sell
Status quo