Heres Why a Bear Market Is at Least Two Years Away

The video discusses the causes of bear markets, highlighting that they are often triggered by tight money policies or recessions. It uses the S&P 500's year-over-year percent change to illustrate these trends, with significant drops occurring during Federal Reserve tightening cycles or recessions. According to David Rosenberg, based on the Conference Board's leading economic index, a recession is unlikely for at least two years, and any rate increases are not expected until mid-2015 or later. The video concludes that a bear market is not imminent.

What are the primary causes of bear markets according to the video?

• Random market fluctuations

• Increased consumer spending

• Tight monetary policies and recessions

• High inflation rates

What does the video suggest about the timing of bear markets?

• They occur randomly without warning

• They are caused by technological advancements

• They are predictable and occur every decade

• They are linked to specific economic conditions

During which events do significant declines in the S&P 500 occur?

• During political elections

• During technological booms

• During Federal Reserve tightening cycles or recessions

• During periods of economic growth

According to David Rosenberg, when is a recession expected?

• At least two years away

• In the next decade

• By the end of the current year

• Within the next six months

What is the earliest expected time for an interest rate increase?

• Late 2016

• Mid 2015

• Early 2014

• Early 2017