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OM - Module 02 Reviewer - Forecasting

Total questions: 57

Worksheet time: 29mins

Name
Class
Date
1.

These are basic input in the decision processes of operations management because they provide information on future demand.

a)

Forecasts

b)

Seasonal Forecasts

c)

Exponential Smoothing

d)

Trend

2.

Numerical value that is multiplied by the normal forecast to get a seasonally adjusted forecast.

a)

Seasonal Forecast

b)

Naive Forecast

c)

Judgmental Forecast

d)

Time-series Forecast

3.

A sum of the forecast errors; also known as bias.

a)

Cumulative Error

b)

Mean Square Error

c)

Average Error

d)

Forecast Error

4.

How far into the future something is forecasted.

a)

Seasonal Forecast

b)

Trend

c)

Time Frame

d)

Delphi Method

5.

An exponential smoothing forecast adjusted for trend.

a)

Moving Forecast

b)

Exponential Smoothing

c)

Trend

d)

Adjusted Exponential Smoothing

6.

The average of the squared forecast errors.

a)

Mean Square Error (MSE)

b)

Mean Absolute Percent Deviation (MAPD)

c)

Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)

d)

Average Forecast

7.

The absolute forecast error measured as a percentage of demand.

a)

Mean Square Error (MSE)

b)

Mean Absolute Percent Deviation (MAPD)

c)

Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)

d)

Average Forecast

8.

The cumulative error averaged over the number of time periods.

a)

Cumulative Error

b)

Average Error

c)

Mean Square Error

d)

Forecast Error

9.

A gradual, long-term up or down movement of demand.

a)

Forecasts

b)

Seasonal Forecasts

c)

Exponential Smoothing

d)

Trend

10.

A mathematical relationship that relates a dependent variable to two or more independent variables.

a)

Linear Regression

b)

Multiple Regression

c)

Correlation

d)

Not Stated

11.

Procedure for acquiring informed judgments and opinions from knowledgeable individuals to use as a subjective forecast

a)

Delphi Method

b)

Forecast

c)

Exponential Smoothing

d)

Time Frame

12.

This forecast is a sophisticated weighted averaging method that creates a new forecast based on the previous forecast plus a percentage of the difference between that forecast and the actual value of the series at that point.

a)

Moving Average

b)

Weighted Moving Average

c)

Exponential Smoothing

d)

Adjusted Exponential Smoothing

13.

This forecast uses a number of the most recent actual data values in generating a forecast, however, it assigns more weight to more recent values.

a)

Moving Average

b)

Weighted Moving Average

c)

Exponential Smoothing

d)

Adjusted Exponential Smoothing

14.

This kind of forecast uses a number of the most recent acutal data values in generating a forecast.

a)

Moving Average

b)

Weighted Moving Average

c)

Exponential Smoothing

d)

Adjusted Exponential Smoothing

15.

These techniques can generate forecasts that reflect recent values of a time series.

a)

Averaging Techniques

b)

Forecasting Techniques

c)

Analytical Techniques

d)

Problem Solving Techniques

16.

This forecast uses a single precious value of a time series as the basis of a forecast.

a)

Seasonal Forecast

b)

Judgmental Forecast

c)

Naive Forecast

d)

Time-series Forecast

17.

These are residual variations that remain after all other behaviors have been accounted for.

a)

Trend

b)

Seasonality

c)

Cycles

d)

Irregular Variations

e)

Random Variations

18.

These are due to unusual or unforeseen circumstances and do not reflect the typical behavior.

a)

Trend

b)

Seasonality

c)

Cycles

d)

Irregular Variations

e)

Random Variations

19.

These are wavelike variations of more than one year's duration.

a)

Trend

b)

Seasonality

c)

Cycles

d)

Irregular Variations

e)

Random Variations

20.

This refers to short-term, fairly regular variations generally related to factors such as the calendar or time of day.

a)

Trend

b)

Seasonality

c)

Cycles

d)

Irregular Variations

e)

Random Variations

21.

This refers to a long-term upward or downward movement in the data.

a)

Trend

b)

Seasonality

c)

Cycles

d)

Irregular Variations

e)

Random Variations

22.

This is a time-ordered sequence of observations taken at regular intervals.

a)

Time Series

b)

Cumulative Observation

c)

Forecast

d)

Time Frame

23.

These use equations that consist of one or more explanatory variables that can be used to predict demand.

a)

Qualitative Methods

b)

Quantitative Methods

c)

Judgmental Forecasts

d)

Time-series Forecasts

e)

Associative Models

24.

These use historal data with the assumption that the future will be like the past, so basically it attempts to project experience into the future.

a)

Qualitative Methods

b)

Quantitative Methods

c)

Judgmental Forecasts

d)

Time-series Forecasts

e)

Associative Models

25.

These rely on analysis of susbjective inputs obtained from various sources, wherein these sources provide insights that are not otherwise available.

a)

Qualitative Methods

b)

Quantitative Methods

c)

Judgmental Forecasts

d)

Time-series Forecasts

e)

Associative Models

26.

These involve either the projection of historical data or the development of associative models that attempt to utilize variables to make a forecast.

a)

Qualitative Methods

b)

Quantitative Methods

c)

Judgmental Forecasts

d)

Time-series Forecasts

e)

Associative Models

27.

These consist mainly of subjective inputs, which often defy precise numerical descriptions.

a)

Qualitative Methods

b)

Quantitative Methods

c)

Judgmental Forecasts

d)

Time-series Forecasts

e)

Associative Models

28.

These consists mainly of subjective inputs, which often defy precise numerical descriptions.

a)

Qualitative Methods

b)

Quantitative Methods

c)

Judgmental Forecasts

d)

Time-series Forecasts

e)

Associative Models

29.

What formula is this?

a)

Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)

b)

Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE)

c)

Mean Squared Error (MSE)

30.

What formula is this?

a)

Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)

b)

Mean Squared Error (MSE)

c)

Mean Absolute Percent Error

31.

What formula is this?

a)

Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)

b)

Mean Squared Error (MSE)

c)

Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE)

32.

It is based on the historical error performance of a forecast.

a)

Forecast Accuracy

b)

Positive Errors

c)

Negative Errors

d)

Forecast Error

33.

This is a significant factor when deciding among forecasting alternatives.

a)

Forecast Accuracy

b)

Positive Error

c)

Negative Error

d)

Forecast Error

34.

These result when the forecast is too high.

a)

Forecast Accuracy

b)

Positive Error

c)

Negative Error

d)

Forecast Error

35.

These results when the forecast is too low.

a)

Forecast Accuracy

b)

Positive Error

c)

Negative Error

d)

Forecast Error

36.

This is solved as Actual value minus Forecasted value.

a)

Error

b)

Trend

c)

Time Frame

d)

Accuracy

37.

This refers to the difference between the value that occurs and the value that was predicted for a given period.

a)

Forecast Accuracy

b)

Positive Error

c)

Negative Error

d)

Forecast Error

38.

________ and _______ of forecasts are vital aspects of forecasting.

a)

Accuracy

b)

Control

c)

Errors

d)

Time Frame

39.

Give 1 variation of continuous replenishment.

(a)  

40.

This is typically managed by the supplier wherein the supplier and customer share continuously updated data.

a)

Continuous Inventory

b)

Continuous Management

c)

Continuous Relationship

d)

Continuous Replenishment

41.

This can lead to the reduction of inventory for the company and the speeding up of customer delivery.

a)

Continuous Inventory

b)

Continuous Management

c)

Continuous Relationship

d)

Continuous Replenishment

42.

These determine inventory levels in the supply chain.

a)

Accurate Forecast

b)

Inaccurate Forecast

c)

Supply Chain Forecast

d)

Inventory Forecast

43.

These are very important for the supply chain.

a)

Accurate Forecast

b)

Inaccurate Forecast

c)

Supply Chain Forecast

d)

Inventory Forecast

44.

These can lead to shortages and excesses throughout the supply chain.

a)

Accurate Forecast

b)

Inaccurate Forecast

c)

Supply Chain Forecast

d)

Inventory Forecast

45.

Element of a good forecast that states that the benefits should outweigh the costs.

a)

Cost-effective

b)

Simple to Understand and Use

c)

In Writing

d)

Expressed in Meaningful Units

e)

Reliable

46.

Element of a good forecast that refers to the forecasts in aspect of usage.

a)

Cost-effective

b)

Simple to Understand and Use

c)

In Writing

d)

Expressed in Meaningful Units

e)

Reliable

47.

Element of a good forecast that refers to the state of the forecast that will permit an objective basis for evaluating the forecast once actual results are in.

a)

Cost-effective

b)

Simple to Understand and Use

c)

In Writing

d)

Expressed in Meaningful Units

e)

Reliable

48.

Element of a good forecast that refers to the choice of units in which fits the user needs.

a)

In Writing

b)

Expressed in Meaningful Units

c)

Reliable

d)

Accurate

e)

Timely

49.

Element of a good forecast that refers to a forecast being able to work consistently.

a)

In Writing

b)

Expressed in Meaningful Units

c)

Reliable

d)

Accurate

e)

Timely

50.

Element of a good forecast that refers to the degree of accuracy being stated.

a)

In Writing

b)

Expressed in Meaningful Units

c)

Reliable

d)

Accurate

e)

Timely

51.

Element of a good forecast that refers to a certain amount of time that is needed to respond to the information in which a forecast provides.

a)

In Writing

b)

Expressed in Meaningful Units

c)

Reliable

d)

Accurate

e)

Timely

52.

These affect decisions and activites throughout an organization, in accounting, finance, human resources, marketing, and management information systems (MIS).

a)

Forecasts

b)

Human Emotion

c)

Ergonomics

d)

Technology

53.

These are the basis for budgeting, planning capacity, sales, production and inventory, personnel, purchasing, and more.

a)

Operations Management

b)

Forecasts

c)

Historical Data

d)

Constraints

54.

Aspect of Forecasts that is a function of the ability of forecasters to correctly model demand, random variation, and sometimes unforeseen events.

a)

Degree of Accuracy

b)

Degree of Demand

c)

Expected Level of Accuracy

d)

Expected Level of Demand

55.

Aspect of forecasts that is a function of some structural variation, such as a trend or seasonal variation.

a)

Degree of Accuracy

b)

Degree of Demand

c)

Expected Level of Accuracy

d)

Expected Level of Demand

56.

What is the primary goal of operations management?

a)

Ensure that the company is headed in the right direction

b)

To match supply to demand

c)

Keep inventory levels in check

d)

Ensure that no losses are incurred

57.

The importance of forecasting to operations management cannot be __________.

a)

Overstated

b)

Understated

c)

Ignored

d)

Overachieved