WorksheetsQuiz 1: Vocab Quiz
Total questions: 10
Worksheet time: 6mins
A focal question acts as an...
a bridge and a wall
an anchor and a fence
a hope and a dream
a way to scope work for clients
Focal questions should be
Deep, expansive overviews of the search space
A few concise words to frame the scenario space
A paragraph or two that generally cover the search space
Just the one right word
Scenarios help us (pick 2)
analyze the past
gain insights about what to do now
model the future
consider what we might need to do in the future
A black swan is
a metaphor that describes a high impact, low probability event
a large black water bird
a surprise
a type of cybercurrency
Emerging patterns
are ripples of unintended consequences
are the result of the two-slit experiment
often die off but might change or replace an existing pattern
help illustrate the uncertainties underlying scenarios
A forecast
is the same as a prediction
is a fishing maneuver
states that something is going to happen in the future based on research and reasoning
is usually right
Horizon scanning (pick 2)
explores ideas, concepts and actions that will impact the future
is what you will practice for the next 9 weeks
requires binoculars
generates a database of trends
A scenario is plausible when
Everybody thinks its about right
When it predicts something about the future
underlying assumptions and internal logic connect combine to create the narrative
It fits at least some people's assumptions about the future
Probability expresses (pick 2)
where you should place a bet
the likelihood something will happen
random numbers that keep uncertainty uncertian
that you have a 1-in-4 chance of getting this question correct if you just guess
Pick a driving force
Annual disease outbreaks
The strength of the Chinese economy
Apple's iPhone roadmap
The type of music on the Hot 100
